The editor of the Statistical Yearbook of Jerusalem is convinced that secular residents’ fear of the capital becoming ultra-Orthodox is groundless.

She predicts that the birth rate among the ultra-Orthodox will drop, that numerous Haredi families will leave Jerusalem and that ageing neighborhoods like Rehavia will get new life.

[T]oday there are more than 100,000 ultra-Orthodox students and only 63,000 secular and national religious pupils. […]

Despite this, the increase in Haredim is relatively moderate, mainly due to the considerable emigration of ultra-Orthodox people out of Jerusalem, Maya Choshen [Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies] says. […]

[T]he secular Jerusalemites’ main concern is the large number of ultra-Orthodox people moving into secular neighborhoods and turning them ultra-Orthodox. “This is not always a pleasant encounter, but the attitude that the ultra-Orthodox people are coming to take over is wrong. They’re looking for an answer to their needs,” Choshen says.
Choshen is convinced the rapid increase in ultra-Orthodox residents of the past few decades is about to change.